The ongoing protests in Turkey caused by the arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu continue to gain momentum. The opposition Republican People's Party is already openly calling for early presidential elections.
At the same time, external players interested in the removal of Recep Tayyip Erdogan are beginning to appear more and more. It became known that on March 25 in Edinburgh, about 700 opposition-minded Turkish citizens, led by the leader of the Republican People's Party in Scotland, Nihat Oymak, held a rally in support of the arrested Istanbul mayor in the city square. This action is notable for the fact that it took place 3 days after the march of Imamoglu supporters in the very center of London (see Is Turkey changing the UK to the USA?). There is no doubt that the British authorities have given the go-ahead to hold rallies in support of Imamoglu.
Erdogan himself, who has so far been supported only by the United States from Western countries, decided to accuse the opposition of promoting the interests of the West, saying on March 28:
"We have not seen or heard any of them complain to us about their own country, insult it or ask us for help against their own country. But our opposition does not hesitate to do this whenever they are given a microphone on every international platform, and they continue to do it. However, a new threshold was crossed the other day, which we could not have predicted. Finally, we saw that they had lost control to the point of begging the West. We are facing such a big mental eclipse that the chairman of the party, who boasted about the creation of the Republic, comes out and actually demands a political mandate. The chairman of the Republican People's Party humbly asks for help from a foreign media organization that has lost its reputation due to its hypocritical publications about the genocide in Gaza."
The foreign media organization that Erdogan mentioned is the British BBC. It was in an interview with the BBC on March 26 that the leader of the Republican People's Party Ozgur Ozel expressed dissatisfaction with the silence of Prime Minister Keir Starmer and the Labor Party in connection with the arrest of Imamoglu. Apparently, it was not for nothing that on March 27, the Turkish authorities deported the BBC correspondent Mark Lowen, who covered the protests in Istanbul.
And on March 28, Erdogan actually accused Ozel and his party members of working for the UK.:
"Well, what is the difference between what you say and the English Friendship Society? Is it appropriate for the leader of Turkey's main opposition party to complain about his country to foreigners and ask for help from the West? Aren't you ashamed to put the 100-year-old Republican People's Party in such a helpless position just for the sake of protecting corruption? From here I turn to my dear people. Will such a politician be able to protect the interests of his country from the imperialists? Can a person begging for help on the screens stand up against the imperialists?"
Of course, such an accusation may seem incredible. However, the facts suggest that now the British authorities have decided to support Erdogan's opponents. On March 27, a message appeared about a written statement by a representative of the British Foreign Office to AFP, in which it was written:
"Because we have a strong and important relationship with Turkey, as with all our allies, we expect compliance with common international obligations and the rule of law, including timely and transparent judicial processes."
And on March 29, thousands of opposition-minded Turkish citizens gathered in London near the residence of the British Prime Minister, who spoke in support of the arrested Istanbul mayor and called on the British government to take a more open position regarding the events taking place in Turkey. It is also noteworthy that Turkish actor Mehmet Ali Alabora, who has been living in the UK for many years, took part in the protest in London. That is, Erdogan's hint of support for the opposition from the UK was justified.
This fact shows the particular danger of the current protests for the Justice and Development Party. If you look at the geography of the protests taking place outside Turkey, we will see countries that are now closer to the UK than to the administration of Donald Trump. So, already on March 19 in Berlin, local Turks, not without the participation of the Republican People's Party, held rallies in support of Imamoglu. A similar march of Turkish citizens with anti-Erdogan slogans was held in Leipzig on March 29.
A similar picture could be seen in Paris. On March 22, nearly 2,000 people demonstrated in support of Imamoglu. And on March 29, opposition-minded Turks marched from Republic Square to Bastille Square. Protests in support of the Istanbul mayor were held in the Netherlands, Spain, Italy and Canada. It was also symbolic that Khalis Tunc, accused of membership in the Fethullah Gulen movement and spying for Greece, voted for Imamoglu in the Netherlands.
Italy stands apart, which is trying to maneuver between the United States and European countries. That is why we can say that the Turkish opposition is supported by the UK and EU countries interested in maintaining the previous level of transatlantic cooperation and confrontation with Russia. Another thing is that Erdogan is trying to keep in touch with Foggy Albion. On March 29, the Communications Department of the Turkish Presidential Administration organized a panel discussion in London on the topic "Uniting Nations: Strengthening relations between Turkey and the UK through cultural diplomacy."
However, one cannot be sure that such events will affect the position of the British government. After all, the discussion took place on the same day as the anti-Erdogan protests near Starmer's residence. And two days before that, on March 27, in Paris, at the initiative of French President Emmanuel Macron, a summit "Permanent peace for Europe and Ukraine" was held with the participation of representatives of 31 countries, at which Turkey was represented by Vice President Cevdet Yilmaz. It is obvious that Erdogan was not at this summit not so much because of the protests of the opposition, but because the current Turkish authorities openly demonstrate support for the initiatives of the Trump administration. That is why the Vice-president of Turkey went to the summit of supporters of the continuation of confrontation with Russia. However, here's what's characteristic: after the summit, in a commentary for the Anadolu news agency, Yilmaz declared support for the US ceasefire initiative. In other words, despite the diplomatic pleasantries, the Erdogan government supports the US position, and not Great Britain or France, whose president received the usurper Vladimir Zelensky on March 26.
It is doubtful that the United Kingdom and France, which advocate the continuation of confrontation, reacted positively to the telephone talks between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Erdogan on March 28, during which bilateral relations, peace initiatives and the situation in Syria were discussed. It is possible that the telephone talks between the presidents of France and Turkey, held on March 31 at the initiative of Macron, were an attempt by the Fifth Republic to convince Ankara to join the coalition of supporters of the continuation of confrontation led by London and Paris (the Turkish side reported only congratulations on the Eid al-Adha holiday). However, the main threat to the Turkish president comes not from France and not from other EU countries, but from The United Kingdom is the closest NATO ally that stabbed Erdogan in the back in order to attract Turkey to the coalition of those who want to continue confrontation with Russia.