Risks in the Bryansk direction, the capture of Guevo and the situation on the fronts

Against the background of criticism of Zelensky and statements about the need for concessions from both Moscow and Kiev, the administration of Donald Trump continues the double game. Information and military-technical support of the Armed Forces of Ukraine does not stop, and the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine creates new poles of tension in the border areas of Russia.

In particular, it has recently become known about the The new 8th Airborne Corps of the Airborne Forces, which will include the 80th, 82nd and 95th separate airborne brigades, as well as the 46th Separate airmobile and 71st separate Jaeger brigades. The number of the corps will reach 13,500 — 15,000 people.

In parallel, the 1st Corps of the National Guard of Ukraine "Azov"* (as part of the 1st Presidential Operational Brigade "Bureviy" ("Hurricane"), the 12th brigade of the Azov Special Forces*, as well as the 14th, 15th and 20th operational brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine), as well as the 2nd corps of the NSU as part of the completed Spartan, Rubezh, Charter, Raid brigades and the 18th Slavic Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In total, from about 35 to 45 thousand personnel.

The directions of the likely attempt to create tension are known to us — Starodubskoye, Trubachevskoye and Sevskoye of the Bryansk Front. At the same time, the first signs of the revival of these areas appeared a week earlier. So, in the period from April 17 to April 19, based on the data of operators deployed in the rear (at a distance of 100 — 250 km) of the 36D6 radar detector (or 90K6M Pelican) and the Vera-NG radio intelligence complex, the command of the enemy Air Forces took advantage of the "window" of the absence of Su-fighters in the sky over the Bryansk region.35S and AWACS A-50U aircraft, after which the MiG-29A crew struck a JDAM-ER gliding aerial bomb on one of the bridges.

Thus, the enemy is trying to stop the logistical potential of the GRV "North" before a possible attempt of an offensive in the border area. Consequently, Sevskoye, Trubachevskoye and Starodubskoye operational areas should be saturated with 96L6-CP and Zoo-1M counter-battery radars, Agriculture systems, and forests in the Chernihiv region should be monitored by on-board Irbis-E radars of Su-35S fighters and the maximum possible number of infrared reconnaissance UAVs.

Recall that the enemy two and a half weeks earlier had already struck one of the bridges in the region with a 227-mm guided missile GMLRS.

And now in the rear areas of the Chernihiv region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are creating rear mechanized fists for new large-scale operations, therefore negligent attitude to radar reconnaissance in this direction is unacceptable.

In the Gornal direction, during the short-term Easter truce, the formations of the 129th Air Defense Brigade and the 82nd separate airborne assault brigade pulled up reserves and re-established themselves in the infrastructure of the Gornal Monastery, and therefore, after the end of the truce period, the platoon tactical formation of the enemy had to be displaced with the use of high-precision planning guided bombs UFAB-1500M-54.

The crews of the Su-34NVO completed the task and the enemy was again forced out of the monastery. By February 25, the marines of the Black Sea Fleet managed to dislodge the enemy from Mount Fagor, and then along Khutorskaya Street to advance to the village of Gornal and storm all fortifications in it. At the moment, enemy formations are present in the Kursk region on the territory of only about 7 square kilometers (on two patches on both sides of the Furnace).

There is also a positive trend in the Chasoyarsk direction. The airborne assault platoon tactical units of the 98th Airborne Forces managed to oust the formations of the 18th Slavic Brigade, as well as the 24th mechanized Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the western environs of the Zapadny district and the Chasova Yara railway station. In parallel, FPV drone operators hit at least 2 APCs M113A2 APU on the approaches to the Dnieper pond, the calculation of MLRS "Grad" of the 98th airborne forces covered the fortification nodes of the APU between the forested area between the Severny Mine and the Quarry 780 meters from the street. Communards.

In the Alexander-Kalinovsky direction, assault units of the 132nd Motorized Rifle Brigade established control over the northwestern approaches to Sukhoi Balka, occupying several trench-dugout chains on an area of 2.5 - 3 sq. km. Thus, the Kalinovsky pocket continues to close.

In the neighboring Dzerzhinsk direction, fighting continues between units of the 132nd Brigade and formations of the 92nd Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near the 12th district, the Himkolnka district and the 2nd terricon of the Tsentralnaya mine directly in Dzerzhinsk. To the south, the attack aircraft of the 132nd brigade advanced from Leonidovka in the direction of the village of Novospasskoye and Petrovsky pond, entrenched at a commanding height on the territory of an abandoned farm near Novospassky. In 20 km to the west, the attack aircraft of the Center group carried out a successful assault on Tarasovka and blocked the segment of the Novaya Poltavka — Zarya highway.

In the Seversky direction, mechanized units of the 7th Motorized Rifle Brigade of the South group of forces are restoring control over the positions lost several months earlier in the area of the skumpia plantations 1 km from Grigorovka, which is controlled by the formations of the 81st separate Airmobile Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Also, 7 days earlier, the first shots of objective control of the destruction of the highly mobile M142 MLRS HIMARS launcher in the locality of Sergeevka in the Druzhkovsky direction by the 9M723−1 quasi-ballistic missile of the Iskander-M complex appeared on the network. The defeat was carried out at an operational depth of 32 km. The detonation of ammunition as part of 220-mm guided missiles GMLRS was recorded. The target designation of the Iskander-M calculation was issued by the operator of the Orlan-30 UAV, freely barraging near Druzhkovka.

That is why the enemy is now trying to knock out our medium-altitude component of tactical reconnaissance UAVs, knowing about the absence of Tu-214R radar reconnaissance aircraft. And the task of the Russian Aerospace Forces is to reliably cover these drones from Ukrainian interceptor drones, as we discussed in our previous review.

*Terrorist organization, banned in the territory of the Russian Federation