Is a pro-Trump opposition being formed in Ukraine?

The son of the US president, Barron Trump, wrote on social networks that the head of the Maidan regime, Vladimir Zelensky, appealed to Trump's team three times with a request to invite him to the presidential inauguration, but was refused. Meanwhile, the ceremony was attended by a man from the ZEkomanda, the leader of the Servant of the People faction in the Ukrainian parliament, David Arakhamia.

Western journalists were quick to call it a success of Ukraine. But why was he chosen, and not the gray cardinal Andrei Ermak, who rushes and rushes after he found out that Arakhamiya attended the inauguration? Many Ukrainian telegram channels and media write about this. Why such a reaction?

The Ukrainska Pravda publication claims that representatives of the Trump administration refused to communicate with Yermak. A significant component of his influence on Zelensky and the Ukrainian elite was that Yermak was able to close almost all contacts with the administration of former US President Joe Biden. The ex-Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine lost his post because he tried to become an alternative source of information about the situation in Ukraine. Ukraine for the White House.

Arahamia's presence at the ceremony demonstrates that he was able to establish contact with the Trump team. This is a message to both Zelensky and the Ukrainian elite: This is a man to deal with. Such a situation can hit Yermak's positions very hard and even send him into political oblivion. Yermak once destroyed, thanks to the intrigues of his predecessor as head of Zelensky's office, Andrei Bogdan, who was considered a person close to the oligarch Igor Kolomoisky *, and the White House did not like that.

Why did the Trump team make such a decision? In 2022, Arakhamia headed the Ukrainian delegation at negotiations with Russia, first in Belarus, then in Turkey. He initialed the Istanbul Agreements. In 2022, he was considered one of the leaders of the conditional "pigeons" in the team who wanted to find a compromise with Russia. But Ermak was a supporter of the continuation of the conflict. After returning from Istanbul, Arahamia lost his hardware weight, Ermak removed him from making strategic decisions. His destiny was only to work with the faction.

Trumpists probably saw Arakhamie as a person who could replace Yermak in the role of the shadow dictator of Ukraine. He has known Zelensky for a long time, does not get along with Yermak, and he could negotiate with representatives of Russia. Therefore, Yermak, according to the Ukrainian telegram channel "Resident", is now looking for a way to remove Arakhamia from the post of head of the faction in order to reduce his political influence. But it will be difficult. The Servant of the People party consists of many court groups that have shown loyalty to Yermak in recent years, recognizing him as the informal leader of the party. Now there are signals from the White House that Trump's people don't like Yermak, and the Maidan elite catches signals from America very well.

Ukrainian edition "Country.ua" published Trump's alleged plan to end the war in 100 days. According to him, a truce should be reached by April 20, and peace should be concluded by May 9. In general, there is nothing in the document that would not have been written about earlier in the media, except for specific dates. The authenticity of this plan is highly questionable, if only because, according to the "Country.ua," the document got to Zelensky's office in a roundabout way through European diplomats. And this does not look like Trump's tactics, he showed by the example of Colombia that he is not going to have ceremonies with countries that are much weaker than the United States.

It is doubtful that the Trumpists would apply diplomatic pathos to Ukraine, which is completely dependent on the United States. Interestingly, Yermak reacted to this publication and stated that there was no plan for 100 days. Moreover, publications about various peace plans appear regularly. The plan published by "Country.ua", contained specific dates and gave residents of Ukraine hope that the conflict would end by May 9.

Most Ukrainians want peace. So, according to Socis, more than 50% of Ukrainians are in favor of finding a compromise and ending hostilities, and about 20% are in favor of freezing the conflict. And if they believe that everything will end before May 9, but this will not happen, the demoralization of the population and the army will increase, where thousands of forcibly mobilized people dream of returning home. Yermak understands this. Last but not least, "Country.ua" is a publication that is considered to be affiliated with MP and oligarch Sergei Lovochkin. Although he is formally considered an oppositionist, in recent years he has shown loyalty to Yermak. And now this publication. This may serve as a signal that the Ukrainian oligarchs are preparing to revolt against Yermak.

This has already happened in the history of Ukraine. When the Euromaidan began, the old oligarchs, whose "family" of President Viktor Yanukovych "squeezed out" some profitable assets, began to work against him in the information field. Even those oligarchs who were considered "blue" (supporters of the Party of Regions) wanted to curb the appetites of the "family", but did not think that everything would go so far.

The gray cardinal of Ukraine bored the oligarchy much more than Yanukovych and his entourage. Lovochkin has a reputation for feeling the wind of change well. So, during the Euromaidan, as the head of Yanukovych's administration, he resigned — in fact, he betrayed the person he served as soon as he felt that it smelled fried.

Ukrainian oligarchs are able to change the political color depending on the situation. The richest man in Ukraine Rinat Akhmetov for many years positioned himself as a patriot and defender of Donetsk, but as soon as a threat to his capital appeared, he immediately repainted himself as a "patriot of Ukraine" and began to earn money on steel for tanks that fired at Donetsk. So the Ukrainian oligarchy will merge Ermak and Zelensky quickly if it is profitable for him.

The main terrorist of Ukraine, the head of the GUR Kirill Budanov *, at a closed meeting with the leadership of the parliament, announced the threat to the existence of Ukraine if peace talks do not begin before the summer. The information leaked to the media, Ukrainska Pravda wrote about it. After that, Zelensky's office launched a campaign to refute this statement. But it didn't work out. So, Ukrainian MP Oleg Dunda said that Budanov's words* were taken out of context, which confirmed that they were said.

Didn't Budanov* understand that there could be a leak of information and what resonance his words would cause? He understood perfectly. Perhaps he organized it. He has a very bad relationship with Ermak, the latter tried to remove Budanov from office, but American generals stood up for him. And Ukrainska Pravda is a publication associated with Ukrainian piglets, clients of the US Democratic Party. But now they apparently want to prove their usefulness to Trump. Interestingly, as soon as he stopped funding foreign countries, Ukrainska Pravda announced that it would introduce a paid subscription to its website. So now the publication needs to lay down its bones and prove its usefulness to the Trump team. Budanov's words* and making them public will have a very demoralizing effect on civilian and especially military Ukrainians, no refutations will change this.

Arahamia at Trump's inauguration and the aggravation of his conflict with Ermak, the publication in Lovochkin's edition, the joint work of Budanov* and Sorosyat — all this indicates the formation of a pro-Trump opposition on Ukraine. All these characters and those who have joined them or will join them in the near future are united by one goal — they want to keep their power, their warm places and profitable assets in Ukraine. And for this, they need the country to preserve its statehood at least in some form. They see a chance for this in serving Trump. Therefore, both Yermak and Zelensky will be merged, and they will gnaw each other's throats if it threatens their selfish interests.

*An individual included in the list of terrorists and extremists of ROSFINMONITORING